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Despite progress, county supervisors say they must 'stay the course' against coronavirus

Original post made on Apr 29, 2020

County health officials on Tuesday credited strong compliance with shelter-in-place orders for enabling relaxation of some of those rules as part of an extended novel coronavirus health order expected to be made public Wednesday.

Read the full story here Web Link posted Tuesday, April 28, 2020, 4:00 PM

Comments (6)

Posted by g-man
a resident of Danville
on Apr 29, 2020 at 8:28 pm

they're likely thinking about their liability. Ridiculous to have kept golf courses and the like closed. Phooey.

Posted by Rick
a resident of Danville
on May 1, 2020 at 10:31 am

Variables are and constants aren’t. So, if we start there, our betters at the county and Gov Gav have successfully identified a correlation. They shouldn't assume it lasts forever in either the positive or negative direction. Linear relationships are almost always only linear in a limited region of variables. It's time to think of the consequences of decisions - it's not, so agonizingly simplistic & euphemistic, 'if we save just one life'. Rather, it's what is good for everyone (aka, "the majority") for the long term. We must stop running over the peeps while the politicos are circling the wagons. Open up, mask/distance, monitor what happens, react accordingly.

Posted by Matthew
a resident of Danville
on May 1, 2020 at 11:18 am

Just look towards New Jersey with a population of 9 million they had 458 deaths yesterday. We have a population 39 million and 90 deaths yesterday. We do not need to risk our lives to see the future our future is happening in states like New York and New Jersey if we do not continue to shelter in place. We should be proud as the state with the largest population we do not have the highest daily death rate. But Rick if you are bothered by California not having the highest daily death rate then yes it is time to test the waters and see if we can become number one.

Posted by Rick
a resident of Danville
on May 1, 2020 at 3:04 pm

Matthew - if sheltering in place works for you, great. My position is that it's time - for those with no symptoms and who choose - to get out from under the "protective" wing of centralized control where it's getting more difficult to determine if "science and data" are more of an excuse than a reason. With reasonable precautions in place (masks, distancing, as I noted, above) it's time to move to revitalize ourselves and our economy. No one will force you out of your house.

Posted by Long Term Resident
a resident of Danville
on May 5, 2020 at 9:20 am

It’s interesting how folks keep comparing us to New York and New Jersey. We don’t have nearly the population density of either. In addition, if you look at their numbers, many of the deaths occurred in care homes. We can learn from their experiences and adapt accordingly. In Contra Costa County, we have 1.15 million people, 947 cases, and 28 deaths. Some will say that’s because of our sheltering. That’s fine, but what level will it take to start opening up safely? We don’t need to all follow the same timeline as higher density locations like Los Angeles, San Francisco, etc. if it is safe for me to go into Costco or Hope Depot, I should be able to use the same practices and go to a small local business

Posted by Matthew
a resident of Danville
on May 5, 2020 at 12:32 pm

Lets then compare Louisiana 4.6 million people with a population density of 105 people per square mile. Their current death rate is 454 per million population. California has 39 million people with a population density of 251 people per square mile. California current death rate of 59 people per million population. Death total for Louisiana is 2,115 vs California with 2,294. Louisiana median age is 36 which is the same as California.

If the California death rate moves up to match the death rate of Louisiana we will have 17706 deaths. We are not out of the woods no matter how tired we all are of shelter in place. The numbers do not show we are protected with a lower population density. California low death rate shows that shelter in place is effective and any changes will only move us closer to Louisiana death rate. In the end we are all humans that can die when exposed to this virus.

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